Ring of Conservative Sites Ring of Conservative Sites
JOIN!

[ Prev | Skip Prev | Prev 5 | List |
Rand | Next 5 | Skip Next | Next ]

Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Can Bayh Pull A Clinton?

Mike Taylor responds to Joseph Kenner's last point below:


1992
William J. Clinton 370 electoral 44,909,889 popular vote
George H. Bush 168 electoral 39,104,545 popular vote
H. Ross Perot 0 electoral 19,742,267 popular vote

1996
William J. Clinton 379 electoral 47,402,357 popular vote
Robert Dole 159 electoral 39,198,755 popular vote
H. Ross Perot 0 electoral 8,085,402 popular vote

If it weren't for Ross Perot, Clinton would never have stained a blue dress... well, at least not a blue dress in the Oval Office.

The chart above is the popular vote totals from '92 and '96.

In 1992 Clinton received 43.3% of the vote, Bush 41 received 37.7% and Perot got 19.0%.

Without Perot in the race, I don't think Clinton would have succeeded. Perot was drawing off conservative voters who just had their taxes raised by Geo. H. W. Bush... I can't see that over a third of those Perot voters would have gone for Clinton... no matter how hard those data are spun by Paul Begala and James Carville.

Running with the incumbency in '96, Clinton got the barest of majorities, 50%. Dole garnered 41.4%, Perot finished much worse at 8.5%.

The big myth is that Bill Clinton is a master politician... his "genius" was getting Ross Perot to run in 1992 and getting Bob Dole as an opponent in 1996...

And yes, I know that it comes down to the electoral vote.. I don't have Perot's vote count by state to see how he affected Ohio, West Virginia, Georgia, Minnesota, Iowa and Missouri... all in the Clinton electoral column in 1992.


I think that Evan Bayh is certainly "polished" as you put it, but he comes from a small Midwestern state and has little to no name recognition. And, yes, that could also describe Bill Clinton in 1992... but who would be Bayh's Ross Perot?

Perhaps John McCain... if he doesn't survive the Republican primaries but feels he can appeal to a plurality of voters?

Perhaps Rudy Guiliani... certainly a proven leader with HUGE name recognition and a record to run on? ... also a Pro Choice Republican.

Such stuff as political dreams are made on.

-- Mike

9 Comments:

At 12:10 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I still say it's too bad Evan Bayh's father pulled titanic ted from the plane crash. (just to be clear, "titanic" is a reference to his size not to his drining skills)

 
At 4:34 PM, Blogger mttaylor1959 said...

You mean "The Cape Cod Orca" as Mark Levin likes to call him?

You want my take on Ted Kennedy?

I think that after you kill a woman, and avoid any responsibility for your action/inaction... you must figure you can do anything you damn well please and the Kennedy family pooper scoopers will clean up after you, no matter what you do.

 
At 10:54 AM, Blogger Rob said...

Sen Bayh is taking a page from the Tortise and the Hare... slow and steady wins the race...

He may not be the flashiest guy yet, or making the most waves... But he's making the rounds, raising the money and setting the foundation for next year.

12 months from now, what are all the headlines that the other guys are getting now going to do for them?

 
At 10:55 AM, Blogger Rob said...

btw... check out my blog at http://eamon1916.blogspot.com

 
At 3:19 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Keep up the good work » »

 
At 11:33 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have been looking for sites like this for a long time. Thank you! old jeeps supra washer dryer Body kits hyundai accent first principle of double-entry beekeeping 93 body corolla kit toyota askig com s2000 body kits aqua tools sand filter 99 nissan maxima airbag refinance Best alarm system with remote start football players fuck 1 34 in. cabinet locks Interrogatory for debt collection Culinary arts schools in boston Suzuki 750 Faucets equipment and supplies 2000 galant body kits Allegra prescription price

 
At 1:23 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

What a great site botox california sonic blue dvd tvs car

 
At 12:00 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

That's a great story. Waiting for more. Iradium phones ameriplan dental insurance Renault 18 gtl 02 nissan sentra turb kit

 
At 11:31 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Looking for information and found it at this great site... minidv 2004 acura tl custom floor mats Empire brass faucets

 

Post a Comment

<< Home

Ring of Conservative Sites Ring of Conservative Sites
JOIN!

[ Prev | Skip Prev | Prev 5 | List |
Rand | Next 5 | Skip Next | Next ]